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Red61
419223.3
505220.9
367921.9
Blue87
505717.8
436425.2
45725.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67710501001506187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#34
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.7
blue by 2.1
457
#22
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3
Second
3679
#38
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End4.2
blue by 3.3
4364
#31
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Third
5052
#37
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
red by 3.1
5057
#41
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach odds42%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds0%Capture odds