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Red76
335521.6
461018.8
613319.5
Blue67
577521.2
336628.0
557227.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5883020401001201407667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3355
#39
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.7
blue by 6.5
3366
#20
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Second
6133
#18
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 8.1
5572
#29
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.5
End9.4
Third
4610
#35
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End1.7
blue by 2.4
5775
#23
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach odds41%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds0%Capture odds