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Red107
62437.5
582922.8
406339.4
Blue94
617128.9
541424.8
524224.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107765015020010794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.0
39.439.4
Auto8.9
Teleop23.5
End7.1
red by 10.4
6171
#27
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Second
624
#5
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto8.6
Teleop26.1
End2.8
red by 12.7
5414
#21
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Third
5829
#28
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 2.0
5242
#26
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds57%Breach odds
Capture
14%Capture odds1%Capture odds