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Red140
463926.9
331044.2
14866.9
Blue107
41820.8
288133.4
147736.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15283050100200250140107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
66.90.0
66.966.9
Auto14.3
Teleop39.9
End12.6
red by 30.5
1477
#10
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
Second
44.20.0
44.244.2
Auto14.6
Teleop23.1
End6.5
red by 10.8
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
Third
4639
#32
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
red by 6.2
418
#24
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds74%Breach odds
Capture
44%Capture odds2%Capture odds