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Red73
300539.8
373524.3
288133.4
Blue114
384733.9
348141.2
524224.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001035015020073114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#16
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
blue by 1.4
3481
#12
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End5.3
Second
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
blue by 0.5
3847
#17
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Third
3735
#25
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
blue by 0.5
5242
#26
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds79%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds3%Capture odds