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Red103
577521.2
62437.5
617128.9
Blue65
336628.0
505220.9
572623.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947105015010365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto8.6
Teleop26.1
End2.8
red by 9.5
3366
#20
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Second
6171
#27
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 5.4
5726
#40
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto7.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Third
5775
#23
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
red by 0.3
5052
#37
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach odds45%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds1%Capture odds