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Red114
543134.3
399932.5
557227.6
Blue114
419223.3
284832.0
300539.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97986080120140114114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#30
34.3
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
blue by 5.6
3005
#16
39.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
Second
3999
#11
32.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1
red by 0.6
2848
#14
32.0
Auto7.3
Teleop21.0
End3.7
Third
5572
#29
27.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.5
End9.4
red by 4.4
4192
#34
23.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds7%Capture odds