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Red121
258314.5
384733.9
541424.8
Blue89
458753.6
613319.5
505220.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110105015012189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#17
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
blue by 19.6
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
Second
5414
#21
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
red by 3.9
5052
#37
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Third
2583
#36
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto5.7
Teleop6.6
End2.2
blue by 4.9
6133
#18
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach odds79%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds4%Capture odds