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Red164
23133.2
14854.9
572623.3
Blue61
541421.4
278922.7
288128.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139775010015020016461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
54.90.4
53.854.1
Auto11.9
Teleop32.0
End10.9
red by 26.0
2881
#24
28.90.4
29.328.9
Auto6.3
Teleop15.8
End6.7
Second
231
#10
33.20.4
32.032.4
Auto10.0
Teleop18.0
End5.2
red by 10.5
2789
#11
22.70.4
23.122.7
Auto8.8
Teleop9.7
End4.1
Third
5726
#16
23.30.4
22.222.5
Auto7.3
Teleop11.2
End4.8
red by 1.9
5414
#19
21.40.4
21.821.4
Auto8.5
Teleop10.2
End2.6