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Red42
589414.7
563923.0
310321.7
Blue25
602521.1
469419.6
164217.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535001001502004225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5639
#22
23.01.0
15.614.5
Auto7.8
Teleop11.4
End3.8
red by 1.9
6025
#28
21.112.0
24.912.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Second
3103
#31
21.71.0
19.918.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End3.2
red by 2.2
4694
#44
19.62.7
17.815.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Third
5894
#55
14.70.1
14.714.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End2.2
blue by 2.7
1642
#59
17.32.7
16.013.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed