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Red44
433216.6
557217.9
23133.2
Blue44
459711.1
583823.6
147731.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635801001504444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#10
33.2
Auto10.0
Teleop18.0
End5.2
red by 1.9
31.3
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End6.0
Second
5572
#40
17.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End2.6
blue by 5.8
5838
#20
23.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.8
End3.9
Third
4332
#32
16.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End4.1
red by 5.5
4597
#66
11.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed