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Red59
296918.0
399932.8
505220.9
Blue57
469617.9
296613.7
575426.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504402060801001201401605957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.7
20.621.3
Auto8.5
Teleop20.0
End4.3
red by 6.8
5754
#13
26.11.5
15.116.6
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Second
5052
#39
20.90.7
14.114.8
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
red by 3.0
4696
#57
17.91.5
16.117.6
Auto8.5
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Third
2969
#25
18.00.7
12.713.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End1.6
red by 4.2
2966
#63
13.71.5
12.213.7
Auto7.3
Teleop3.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed