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Red40
572623.3
310321.7
303517.1
Blue94
62435.6
433216.6
246837.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348802060801001201404094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5726
#16
23.30.2
11.010.9
Auto7.3
Teleop11.2
End4.8
blue by 14.6
37.91.8
27.229.0
Auto8.6
Teleop23.1
End6.3
Second
3103
#31
21.70.2
18.918.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End3.2
blue by 13.8
624
#4
35.61.8
35.036.8
Auto11.4
Teleop19.1
End5.1
Third
3035
#45
17.10.2
11.411.3
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.8
red by 0.5
4332
#32
16.61.8
15.517.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsMissed69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned