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Red40
42199.9
356113.9
463918.9
Blue36
541716.7
598614.3
602818.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424901020306070804036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#14
18.91.4
16.715.4
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End0.9
red by 0.8
6028
#30
18.11.8
16.915.1
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End3.2
Second
3561
#43
13.91.4
16.014.6
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End2.8
blue by 2.8
5417
#34
16.71.8
16.915.2
Auto6.2
Teleop10.3
End0.3
Third
4219
#56
9.91.4
9.58.1
Auto2.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
blue by 4.4
5986
#52
14.31.8
13.111.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed