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Red32
602521.1
41822.2
52419.4
Blue79
278922.7
300532.9
583823.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50622040801003279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#18
22.22.0
23.121.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.2
End3.2
blue by 10.6
32.92.3
24.026.3
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.7
Second
6025
#28
21.12.0
14.012.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
blue by 2.6
5838
#20
23.62.3
16.819.0
Auto8.0
Teleop11.8
End3.9
Third
5241
#46
9.42.0
13.010.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.0
blue by 13.3
2789
#11
22.72.3
17.820.1
Auto8.8
Teleop9.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed