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Red86
463918.9
272117.6
575426.1
Blue64
45718.7
303517.1
563923.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474102060808664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5754
#13
26.13.0
16.619.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 3.1
5639
#22
23.02.6
14.817.4
Auto7.8
Teleop11.4
End3.8
Second
4639
#14
18.93.0
15.418.3
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End0.9
red by 0.2
457
#49
18.72.6
14.216.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
Third
2721
#38
17.63.0
12.415.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End4.7
red by 0.5
3035
#45
17.12.6
11.313.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsEarned19%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed