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Red25
65313.9
370012.7
42068.8
Blue55
568112.5
64714.6
602521.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313701020405060702555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
653
#50
13.90.7
11.110.4
Auto0.3
Teleop9.1
End4.6
blue by 7.1
6025
#28
21.10.6
12.012.6
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Second
3700
#62
12.70.7
11.310.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 1.9
647
#54
14.60.6
13.714.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Third
4206
#65
8.80.7
8.88.1
Auto1.5
Teleop6.2
End1.0
blue by 3.8
5681
#53
12.50.6
9.19.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
13%Breach oddsMissed26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed