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Red39
406328.2
557217.9
441215.9
Blue88
399932.8
41822.2
615515.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686002040801001201403988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.22.8
29.226.4
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End5.7
blue by 4.6
32.82.6
25.728.3
Auto8.5
Teleop20.0
End4.3
Second
5572
#40
17.92.8
20.117.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End2.6
blue by 4.4
418
#18
22.22.6
22.024.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.2
End3.2
Third
4412
#60
15.92.8
15.212.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.3
red by 1.0
6155
#51
15.02.6
12.114.7
Auto6.4
Teleop5.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed