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Red19
469617.9
52419.4
42199.9
Blue90
65313.9
147731.3
258314.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3562020801001201401990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4696
#57
17.92.2
19.417.2
Auto8.5
Teleop5.8
End3.6
blue by 13.4
31.31.5
25.727.3
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End6.0
Second
4219
#56
9.92.2
8.15.9
Auto2.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
blue by 4.7
2583
#35
14.51.5
20.121.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.6
End2.2
Third
5241
#46
9.42.2
10.98.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.0
blue by 4.5
653
#50
13.91.5
10.411.9
Auto0.3
Teleop9.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsMissed46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed