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Red71
367921.9
602818.1
541421.4
Blue86
280524.4
284825.6
147731.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498402040601001201407186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3679
#29
21.92.0
19.421.4
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End4.2
blue by 9.4
31.31.0
30.431.4
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End6.0
Second
5414
#19
21.42.0
18.720.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.2
End2.6
blue by 4.2
25.61.0
24.525.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.5
End2.6
Third
6028
#30
18.12.0
15.017.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End3.2
blue by 6.3
24.41.0
21.722.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed