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Red101
14854.9
62435.6
541716.7
Blue77
348129.6
469617.9
505220.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12054010015010177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
54.90.6
52.752.1
Auto11.9
Teleop32.0
End10.9
red by 25.3
3481
#17
29.61.6
31.032.6
Auto6.1
Teleop20.6
End2.9
Second
624
#4
35.60.6
35.735.0
Auto11.4
Teleop19.1
End5.1
red by 14.7
5052
#39
20.91.6
16.117.7
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Third
5417
#34
16.70.6
18.417.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.3
End0.3
blue by 1.2
4696
#57
17.91.6
15.617.2
Auto8.5
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned33%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed