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Red49
469419.6
473419.3
333517.3
Blue52
544521.9
433216.6
52419.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604602040801001204952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4694
#44
19.61.3
19.518.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 2.3
5445
#15
21.91.0
19.718.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.5
End3.6
Second
4734
#27
19.31.3
18.316.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End3.7
red by 2.7
4332
#32
16.61.0
18.016.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End4.1
Third
3335
#64
17.31.3
18.317.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End2.4
red by 7.9
5241
#46
9.41.0
8.77.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsMissed29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed