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Red64
370012.7
310321.7
596018.7
Blue87
272117.6
462721.3
406328.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44692060801001206487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3103
#31
21.71.9
22.624.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End3.2
blue by 6.5
28.20.4
28.428.8
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End5.7
Second
5960
#58
18.71.9
14.416.3
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
blue by 2.6
4627
#21
21.30.4
18.418.8
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End3.1
Third
3700
#62
12.71.9
9.711.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 4.8
2721
#38
17.60.4
16.516.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed