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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Utah Regional
Red116
324129.3
322530.4
11520.3
Blue84
324527.0
328928.8
189121.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019740608012014016011684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.3
30.030.2
Auto10.5
Teleop14.9
End5.0
red by 1.6
28.80.1
28.628.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.5
End5.2
Second
29.30.3
28.929.1
Auto10.4
Teleop15.6
End3.3
red by 2.3
3245
#18
27.00.1
26.827.0
Auto6.2
Teleop18.3
End2.5
Third
115
#34
20.30.3
19.920.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End3.3
blue by 1.6
1891
#27
21.90.1
21.821.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.5
End3.5