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Semifinal 2-12016 Utah Regional
Red93
32940.2
302136.3
458519.6
Blue142
593324.7
147733.0
337427.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120105608014016018093142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#3
40.20.1
40.7→40.6
Auto10.1
Teleop24.2
End5.9
red by 7.2
1477
#10
33.00.0
33.1→33.2
Auto11.2
Teleop16.2
End5.6
Second
3021
#2
36.30.1
36.7→36.6
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End7.1
red by 8.7
3374
#23
27.60.0
27.7→27.8
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End5.0
Third
4585
#17
19.60.1
20.1→20.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End4.9
blue by 5.1
5933
#14
24.70.0
24.9→24.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End3.6