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Qual 102016 Utah Regional
Red94
328928.8
299319.2
433441.1
Blue30
300820.6
162210.7
43488.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7836020601001201409430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#5
41.12.7
28.3→31.1
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End2.7
red by 20.5
3008
#25
20.62.4
18.3→15.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.8
End4.3
Second
3289
#9
28.82.7
21.2→24.0
Auto10.1
Teleop13.5
End5.2
red by 18.1
1622
#33
10.71.8
8.9→7.2
Auto0.6
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Third
2993
#28
19.22.7
19.8→22.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 11.1
4348
#30
8.12.4
14.4→12.0
Auto1.0
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed