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Red41
337427.6
246513.8
189121.9
Blue53
324527.0
494416.5
248417.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59593040507080904153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3374
#23
27.61.8
24.022.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End5.0
red by 0.6
3245
#18
27.00.5
23.322.9
Auto6.2
Teleop18.3
End2.5
Second
1891
#27
21.91.8
15.013.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.5
End3.5
red by 5.0
2484
#24
17.00.5
20.520.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End3.8
Third
2465
#29
13.81.8
18.116.3
Auto2.2
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 2.7
4944
#26
16.50.5
13.613.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsMissed51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed