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Red95
147733.0
299319.2
323927.9
Blue87
32940.2
426810.3
324527.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786902040601001201409587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#10
33.00.5
32.633.1
Auto11.2
Teleop16.2
End5.6
blue by 7.2
329
#3
40.22.0
32.534.6
Auto10.1
Teleop24.2
End5.9
Second
3239
#22
27.90.7
19.019.6
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.2
red by 0.9
3245
#18
27.02.0
22.924.9
Auto6.2
Teleop18.3
End2.5
Third
2993
#28
19.20.7
22.523.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 8.9
4268
#36DQ
10.32.0
13.315.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed