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Red67
247812.6
548926.5
337427.6
Blue70
302136.3
50717.5
324320.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66750501001506770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3374
#23
27.62.0
22.220.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End5.0
blue by 8.7
36.30.7
34.233.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End7.1
Second
5489
#11
26.52.0
24.422.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End7.5
red by 6.0
3243
#12
20.51.2
17.816.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Third
2478
#35
12.62.0
18.616.6
Auto6.9
Teleop4.5
End1.2
red by 5.2
5071
#32
7.51.2
19.217.9
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed71%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed