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Qual 172016 Utah Regional
Red70
246513.8
515915.1
246844.7
Blue62
458519.6
323034.6
316623.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7274607080901007062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#1
44.70.0
39.2→39.1
Auto10.9
Teleop28.6
End5.2
red by 10.1
3230
#7
34.61.0
33.4→32.4
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End6.1
Second
5159
#31
15.10.1
15.0→15.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 8.3
3166
#21
23.41.0
21.5→20.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End4.1
Third
2465
#29
13.80.1
16.3→16.2
Auto2.2
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 5.7
4585
#17
19.61.0
16.3→15.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed