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Qual 202016 Utah Regional
Red65
246513.8
316623.4
328928.8
Blue32
147733.0
162210.7
50717.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63602040801006532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3289
#9
28.80.4
24.2→24.6
Auto10.1
Teleop13.5
End5.2
blue by 4.2
1477
#10
33.02.0
33.1→31.1
Auto11.2
Teleop16.2
End5.6
Second
3166
#21
23.40.4
20.5→21.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End4.1
red by 12.7
1622
#33
10.71.8
8.2→6.3
Auto0.6
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Third
2465
#29
13.80.4
16.2→16.7
Auto2.2
Teleop11.2
End0.5
red by 6.4
5071
#32
7.53.0
17.9→14.9
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed