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Red60
324320.5
43488.1
548926.5
Blue49
300623.3
431021.9
300820.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53540204060801006049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5489
#11
26.51.0
22.423.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End7.5
red by 3.2
3006
#19
23.30.4
20.119.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.9
End3.5
Second
3243
#12
20.51.0
16.617.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
blue by 1.4
4310
#15
21.90.4
17.917.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End4.6
Third
4348
#30
8.11.0
12.513.4
Auto1.0
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 12.5
3008
#25
20.60.4
14.414.0
Auto6.5
Teleop9.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed