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Qual 342016 Utah Regional
Red130
433441.1
458519.6
28737.8
Blue80
515915.1
323927.9
328928.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9155020408010012014016013080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#5
41.14.7
35.3→40.0
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End2.7
red by 12.3
3289
#9
28.81.8
24.2→26.0
Auto10.1
Teleop13.5
End5.2
Second
287
#4
37.84.7
28.5→33.2
Auto12.0
Teleop19.9
End5.9
red by 9.9
3239
#22
27.91.8
23.1→24.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.2
Third
4585
#17
19.64.7
19.0→23.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End4.9
red by 4.5
5159
#31
15.11.8
11.3→13.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed