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Red70
147733.0
43488.1
324527.0
Blue79
337427.6
322530.4
50717.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735301001502007079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#10
33.00.2
31.331.5
Auto11.2
Teleop16.2
End5.6
red by 2.5
30.42.1
16.018.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Second
3245
#18
27.00.2
21.521.8
Auto6.2
Teleop18.3
End2.5
blue by 0.6
3374
#23
27.62.1
21.824.0
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End5.0
Third
4348
#30
8.10.2
15.115.3
Auto1.0
Teleop6.6
End0.5
red by 0.6
5071
#32
7.52.1
17.019.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed