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Red46
593324.7
426810.3
246513.8
Blue106
323034.6
189121.9
548926.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4387020608010012014046106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5933
#14
24.70.8
20.319.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End3.6
blue by 9.9
34.62.5
35.137.6
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End6.1
Second
2465
#29
13.80.8
14.013.1
Auto2.2
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 12.7
5489
#11
26.52.5
26.328.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End7.5
Third
4268
#36
10.30.8
14.413.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End0.9
blue by 11.7
1891
#27
21.92.5
17.019.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsMissed68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed