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Red49
431021.9
597420.1
328824.0
Blue76
324129.3
337427.6
162210.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655302040801004976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3288
#13
24.01.3
22.421.1
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End3.5
blue by 5.3
29.32.6
23.926.4
Auto10.4
Teleop15.6
End3.3
Second
4310
#15
21.91.3
18.617.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End4.6
blue by 5.7
3374
#23
27.62.6
19.422.0
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End5.0
Third
5974
#16
20.11.3
20.018.7
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End3.7
red by 9.4
1622
#33
10.71.5
9.611.1
Auto0.6
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsMissed53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed