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Qual 412016 Utah Regional
Red50
299319.2
43488.1
246844.7
Blue71
32940.2
515915.1
324320.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807540601001205071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#1
44.71.8
41.0→39.2
Auto10.9
Teleop28.6
End5.2
red by 4.5
329
#3
40.20.3
40.9→40.6
Auto10.1
Teleop24.2
End5.9
Second
2993
#28
19.23.0
23.5→20.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End2.9
blue by 1.3
3243
#12
20.50.3
19.9→19.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Third
4348
#30
8.13.0
12.3→9.4
Auto1.0
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 7.0
5159
#31
15.10.3
13.1→12.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed