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Red100
327419.1
387230.9
393921.0
Blue106
33925.9
42224.7
159926.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8794050150200100106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.2
30.730.9
Auto8.4
Teleop18.0
End4.5
red by 4.7
1599
#20
26.20.2
25.926.2
Auto8.0
Teleop15.0
End3.2
Second
3939
#19
21.00.2
20.721.0
Auto8.1
Teleop9.1
End3.8
blue by 4.9
339
#16
25.90.2
25.625.9
Auto8.1
Teleop15.8
End2.1
Third
3274
#11
19.10.2
18.919.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 5.6
422
#12
24.70.2
24.524.7
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End4.0