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Red112
161023.5
141329.3
595024.1
Blue113
126227.1
345528.2
97721.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9981204060120140160112113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.2
28.929.2
Auto8.5
Teleop15.6
End5.2
red by 1.1
28.20.4
26.426.8
Auto6.9
Teleop17.2
End4.1
Second
5950
#17
24.10.3
23.724.0
Auto10.2
Teleop9.8
End4.0
blue by 3.0
1262
#10
27.10.4
25.325.7
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End4.0
Third
1610
#15
23.50.3
23.123.4
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End4.1
red by 2.4
977
#14
21.10.4
19.319.7
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.2