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Red61
307227.4
97721.1
345528.2
Blue80
210611.9
126227.1
527932.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665002040801001201406180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.0
23.623.6
Auto6.9
Teleop17.2
End4.1
blue by 4.0
32.22.7
19.722.3
Auto8.1
Teleop18.2
End5.9
Second
3072
#13
27.40.1
18.518.5
Auto6.5
Teleop16.4
End4.6
red by 0.3
1262
#10
27.12.7
20.623.2
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End4.0
Third
977
#14
21.10.1
19.319.3
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.2
red by 9.2
2106
#25
11.92.7
10.813.5
Auto6.2
Teleop5.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed