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Red54
40128.1
61116.4
161023.5
Blue72
387230.9
619419.9
253427.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50710204060801001205472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#8
28.10.2
17.717.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.4
End2.9
blue by 2.8
30.90.1
25.926.0
Auto8.4
Teleop18.0
End4.5
Second
1610
#15
23.50.2
22.322.5
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End4.1
blue by 4.3
2534
#22
27.80.1
23.623.7
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End7.1
Third
611
#26
16.40.1
11.912.0
Auto3.6
Teleop10.9
End2.0
blue by 3.4
6194
#21
19.90.2
16.116.3
Auto6.6
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed