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Red71
38412.8
159926.2
387230.9
Blue84
161023.5
126227.1
253427.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6579020401001201407184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.4
27.928.3
Auto8.4
Teleop18.0
End4.5
red by 3.1
2534
#22
27.80.6
24.725.3
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End7.1
Second
1599
#20
26.20.5
24.625.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.0
End3.2
blue by 0.9
1262
#10
27.10.8
24.124.9
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End4.0
Third
384
#28
12.80.5
12.813.3
Auto6.4
Teleop5.0
End1.3
blue by 10.7
1610
#15
23.50.9
25.726.6
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed