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Red77
289010.9
42224.7
527932.2
Blue74
619419.9
159823.2
307227.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686002040801001201407774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.1
29.430.5
Auto8.1
Teleop18.2
End5.9
red by 4.8
3072
#13
27.41.3
24.525.9
Auto6.5
Teleop16.4
End4.6
Second
422
#12
24.71.1
22.323.3
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End4.0
red by 1.6
1598
#24
23.21.4
18.620.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End4.6
Third
2890
#29
10.91.1
13.414.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End0.9
blue by 9.0
6194
#21
19.91.3
16.217.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed