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Red111
173136.6
527932.2
325814.6
Blue120
108634.8
34630.3
253427.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9811850150200111120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.2
36.436.6
Auto9.2
Teleop24.0
End3.3
red by 1.7
34.80.2
34.734.9
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End4.4
Second
32.20.2
32.032.2
Auto8.1
Teleop18.2
End5.9
red by 1.9
346
#6
30.30.2
30.130.3
Auto7.2
Teleop16.8
End6.3
Third
3258
#33
14.60.2
14.514.6
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End3.2
blue by 13.2
2534
#22
27.80.2
27.727.9
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End7.1