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Red152
108639.1
527937.8
335921.9
Blue118
53925.4
202831.9
11622.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12192406080100140160180152118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.2
37.537.7
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End6.0
red by 7.2
2028
#12
31.90.5
30.831.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.8
End4.6
Second
37.80.2
36.136.3
Auto8.6
Teleop22.7
End6.5
red by 12.4
539
#20
25.40.5
24.324.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.6
End4.5
Third
3359
#29
21.90.2
20.320.4
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 1.0
116
#27
22.90.5
21.822.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.4
End4.9