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Red89
33931.3
202831.9
190822.0
Blue81
159827.9
108639.1
210718.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64690501001502008981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2028
#12
31.91.7
23.725.5
Auto9.5
Teleop17.8
End4.6
blue by 7.2
39.11.0
31.332.3
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End6.0
Second
339
#4
31.31.7
24.125.9
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End2.9
red by 3.5
27.91.0
22.123.0
Auto9.4
Teleop13.1
End5.4
Third
1908
#18
22.01.7
15.417.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End3.9
red by 3.7
2107
#31
18.21.0
12.813.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed