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Red70
299817.8
602117.1
393925.0
Blue61
210615.0
313623.2
159933.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4358020801001207061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3939
#13
25.01.4
17.619.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.3
End5.5
blue by 8.0
1599
#15
33.00.4
26.526.9
Auto9.1
Teleop18.6
End5.4
Second
2998
#28
17.82.3
14.316.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.2
blue by 5.4
3136
#22
23.20.4
17.818.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End3.2
Third
6021
#33
17.11.4
12.413.8
Auto7.1
Teleop7.4
End2.6
red by 2.1
2106
#35
15.00.4
10.210.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed