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Red72
335921.9
97726.1
595718.4
Blue42
316816.4
370916.9
54022.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5046102030406070807242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#14
26.11.6
20.922.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.8
End3.9
red by 3.6
540
#8
22.50.2
19.319.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.2
End4.2
Second
3359
#29
21.91.6
13.114.7
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 5.0
3709
#38DQ
16.90.3
11.611.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End3.7
Third
5957
#19
18.41.6
14.215.8
Auto7.6
Teleop8.6
End2.3
red by 2.1
3168
#37
16.40.2
14.113.9
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
13%Breach oddsEarned14%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed