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Red85
97726.1
159933.0
527937.8
Blue95
190822.0
428628.1
554636.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9371204060801001201408595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.1
34.334.2
Auto8.6
Teleop22.7
End6.5
red by 1.2
36.51.2
32.533.7
Auto10.7
Teleop13.5
End12.3
Second
1599
#15
33.00.1
29.229.1
Auto9.1
Teleop18.6
End5.4
red by 4.9
28.11.2
22.623.8
Auto8.3
Teleop14.4
End5.4
Third
977
#14
26.10.1
23.723.6
Auto9.4
Teleop12.8
End3.9
red by 4.2
1908
#18
22.01.2
17.018.2
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed