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Red66
335921.9
602117.1
202831.9
Blue85
210718.2
108022.8
40134.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62712040801001201406685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2028
#12
31.90.3
29.529.8
Auto9.5
Teleop17.8
End4.6
blue by 2.2
401
#5
34.11.2
32.733.9
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End4.0
Second
3359
#29
21.90.3
18.518.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 0.9
1080
#25
22.81.2
20.321.5
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Third
6021
#33
17.10.3
13.413.7
Auto7.1
Teleop7.4
End2.6
blue by 1.2
2107
#31
18.21.2
14.415.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed